Unemployment: Latest News

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Statistics Canada - Andrew Grantham - Unemployment rate rises for the 1st time since August amid ‘cracks’ in job market - globalnews.ca - Canada
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Unemployment rate rises for the 1st time since August amid ‘cracks’ in job market
unemployment rate rose to 5.2 per cent in May, Statistics Canada said Friday, a sign of weakening in the country’s tight labour market that will help inform the Bank of Canada’s future interest rate decisions.Employment overall was little changed in the month, the agency said, with a modest 17,000 jobs lost. Employment fell among youth aged 15-24 and rose among those aged 25-54.While part-time employment rose to the tune of 15,500 jobs in May, Canadian employers collectively cut 32,700 full-time positions, according to the report.The unemployment rate rose for the first time since August 2022, StatCan said, up from 5.0 per cent in April.The job report this morning comes after the Bank of Canada’s decision this week to raise its key interest rate target by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.75 per cent.In raising its key rate, the central bank said the labour market remains tight, reflecting continued strong demand for workers.“Some cracks appeared within the Canadian labour market in May, but these may not yet be wide enough to convince the Bank of Canada that inflation is about to meaningfully cool off,” said CIBC senior economist Andrew Grantham in a note to clients Friday morning.He suggested the weaker jobs figures might see markets scale back expectations of additional rate hikes to come, but the Bank of Canada’s policymakers may need to see “further softening” to convince them they can leave rate unchanged.Average hourly wages were up 5.1 per cent in May, continuing to outpace inflation.
James Orlando - Soft, hard or ‘bumpy’ landing? Gauging Canada’s odds of a recession - globalnews.ca - Canada - city Ottawa
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Soft, hard or ‘bumpy’ landing? Gauging Canada’s odds of a recession
Ottawa’s 2023 budget — will Canada’s previously roaring economy coast into a so-called “soft landing” as it slows, or tumble sharply into a recession?Ongoing calls from a chorus of economists predicting a recession to hit Canada in 2023 have come up against surprisingly strong economic data in the early part of the year, making the tea leaves of an economic downturn especially hard to read.A recession is a widespread decline in economic activity over a certain period of time – usually defined as two straight quarters of negative growth.Ottawa’s 2023 budget bases its economic forecast on a consensus of private sector economists.That document, released March 28, showed that economists’ place the odds of a recession higher than when they were last polled for the 2022 fall economic update.But if the economy is supposed to be slowing down right now, someone might want to tell the economy.January’s gross domestic product (GDP) figures outpaced initial estimates from Statistics Canada with 0.6 per cent growth, rebounding from the flat reading in the final quarter of 2022.Canada’s labour market meanwhile held tight with a 5.0 per cent unemployment rate through the first quarter of 2023. The country’s employers have been in a hiring mood as of late, with net 383,000 positions added since last September.
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