third wave? A study by IIT Kanpur says that the third wave of Covid-19 is expected by September to October this year. An IIT Kanpur study done by Professor Rajesh Ranjan and Mahendra Verma, along with their team, on Monday said, "There is a significant anxiety among policy makers and public about the third wave.
For the same, using SIR model, we have constructed the following three scenarios of a possible third wave using the epidemic parameters of the second wave.
We assume that India is fully unlocked on 15 July. Scenario 1 (Back-to-Normal): Third wave peak in October but a lower peak height than the second wave.